Morton Fox (mortonfox) wrote,
Morton Fox

Yes I can go geocaching

GC1GA3R "WWFM IV Rising at the Kensico Dam" geocaching event

This evening, I visited the Not! In The Can geocache at an industrial park in Lyndhurst. The area was quiet because it was after hours and the cache was a quick find. I was, however, surprised to get FTF on this one, knowing that some local geocachers commute along Route 3.

After that, I got 2 triple cheeseburgers for $3 at McDonald's in northern Paramus. Those cheeseburgers were actually disappointing. For 1058 calories, they weren't that big. And finally, I went to Pathmark in Ramsey to restock my fridge. With the exception of the iced tea, everything I needed was on sale this week. Funny how that works.

I haven't written about stocks or investments for a while. That's because I've been mostly watching the wild swings and daily gyrations. However, I recently started making some small moves. Here's what I'm looking at:

1. High dividend yields

If you're tolerating all that volatility, you might as well get paid for it. A 20% dividend yield is within reach. Some stocks I follow are there already, while others may get there within a few weeks. The caveat here is most dividends will get cut as earnings fall during a recession. The trick is to figure out whose dividend is sustainable and whose is not, and that is a tough question. It is an exciting time though. I don't think I ever got an above-20% yield since the Crown American REIT in the late 90s.

2. Deep value

Panicky hedge funds have been dumping stocks left and right, regardless of fundamentals. There are lots of bargains out there, but at the same time, there are lots of value traps. I'm first looking at stocks that I sold in the past for being overvalued to see if value has returned. Might as well reuse some of the research I did in the past.

3. Overbought US$

The 16% rise in the USD Index over the past few months was driven by a global flight to safety as panicking hedge funds and investment banks sold stocks and commodities and fled to the apparent safety of the dollar. However, with interest rates at an all-time low and money supply and debt rising rapidly to pay for all those bailouts, I think the USD is trading way above its fundamentals. However, I don't need any special trades here. Anything I do that reduces the cash level is inherently anti-dollar. So it'll happen automatically when I see buying opportunities. As an aside, gold in the $700 to $750 range is a friggin' bargain.
Tags: cheeseburgers, dividends, geocaching, investing, lyndhurst, mcdonald's, recession, us dollar

  • Metro Gathering 2019

    The last few years, Metro Gathering was in October and had a Halloween theme. This year though, the geocaching mega event is in September and has a…

  • Metro Gathering 2018

    I was in Northern New Jersey October 18 thru 22 for Metro Gathering, the only geocaching mega event I've been attending annually. I went to fewer…

  • Patuxent Ponds

    16 years ago, I lived in Northern New Jersey and I used to travel very far from home because at the time, geocaches were few and far between. One of…

  • Post a new comment


    Anonymous comments are disabled in this journal

    default userpic

    Your reply will be screened

    Your IP address will be recorded 

  • 1 comment